What Selenskyj’s tweets reveal about his relationship with his allies

The longer the war in Ukraine lasts, the clearer it becomes who is willing to help. Who can the country invaded by the Russians trust the most? And is Germany still one of your closest allies? President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has clear answers.

Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, President Zelensky has been in a permanent telephone loop. At least that’s what his Twitter account suggests, which sounds like one thing these days: a phone log. The Ukrainian president took careful note when he called which head of state. The long list is accompanied by expressions of gratitude and appreciation. The minutes should, of course, not omit the issues discussed in the negotiations, namely peace negotiations, nuclear threats, war crimes, military and humanitarian aid and the possible accession of Ukraine to the EU. The President also publicly noted this.

After more than 60 days of war, Zelensky’s tweets make it very clear who the president counts among the country’s closest allies and who is further down the list. Small spoiler: Germany is pretty far down. Zelenskyj’s supporters in five categories:

Zelenskyj’s closest ally

The United States, Britain, France, Canada, EU Representatives Ursula von der Leyen and Charles Michel, and Turkey are among the closest allies. On the one hand, this can be determined by the number of phone calls. According to the Twitter log, Zelenskyy has spoken most often with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson (17 times) since the start of the war, followed by EU representatives (14 times), Joe Biden (12 times), France (8 times). times), Turkey and Canada (seven times).

Selenskyj repeatedly described the conversations with Boris Johnson, Charles Michel and Recep Tayyip Erdodan in his tweets as “ordinary” phone calls. The main topics discussed were the sanctions against Russia and the planning of further measures in the fight against Russian troops. It should therefore have acted primarily for counseling sessions. The same can be said about the phone calls with US President Joe Biden.

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That Zelenskyj gets along so well with the Allies is probably not only due to the regular contacts he maintains over the phone. The promises made by the partners have also contributed to this. Ankara had repeatedly organized meetings between Russian and Ukrainian negotiators in Istanbul and the foreign ministers of both countries in Antalya. Now Erdogan will pave the way for a summit between Zelenskyy and Kremlin boss Vladimir Putin. It is therefore no coincidence that Selenskyj on Twitter called his Turkish and Canadian colleagues “credible”, “true” and “true” friends “. From the beginning of the war, French President Emmanuel Macron has also always wanted a peaceful solution to the conflict. France has so far sent 615 tonnes of humanitarian aid to Ukraine, Macron had also announced that he wanted to expand French military aid further.

However, the United States will make the largest contribution. The US Congress recently approved a $ 33 billion support package. A US delegation had previously visited the Ukrainian president in Kiev. U.S. House Spokeswoman Nancy Pelosi promised Washington’s continued support for Ukraine. Zelensky thanked him on Twitter for his American contribution “to protecting the sovereignty and integrity of our state.” At the same time, he published the video showing him flanked by Pelosi and armed soldiers in front of the presidential building in Kiev and during the joint conversation.

Zelensky should also welcome the embargo on Russian oil planned by the European Commission. While Hungary in particular is still seen as a potential blockade of a unanimous decision on sanctions that would be necessary for this, Germany now supports this move, according to several diplomats. However, Germany has not yet joined the ranks of its closest allies.

Supporters of the EU accession negotiations

Selenskyj’s Twitter telephone log shows more and more messages of thanks to direct neighbors and countries in the European Eastern bloc. Poland tops the list, followed by Lithuania, Bulgaria and Romania, which the Ukrainian president says he has repeatedly spoken by telephone. The President is particularly grateful because Poland and the Baltic republics openly support Ukraine’s EU accession – while other Member States, the European Commission, the European Council and the European Parliament are more reluctant to speak out. In late February, shortly after the Russian invasion, Zelenskyy signed an application to join the EU. At the time, both EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and German Foreign Minister Annalena Bearbock stressed that Ukraine is part of Europe. At the same time, however, the green politician said, “that EU accession is not something that can be completed in a few months”.

The third allied complex consists of Switzerland, Italy, Israel and India, which, according to Selenskyj, like Turkey, have marked themselves as mediators in the war with Russia. The Ukrainian president thanked several times on Twitter for the mediation efforts.

In a fourth block, all donors can be summarized, including Italy, Canada, Japan, Pakistan, Ireland, Greece and Abu Dhabi. These are states that have provided military, humanitarian or economic support to Ukraine in the fight against the Russian invaders. However, only a fraction of the countries support Ukraine accordingly.

The last bloc consists of representatives from Africa, South America, Latvia and Korea. Selelnskyj had called the respective representatives to inform them about the current situation in Ukraine and to establish or expand relations with the states. It says tweets at least.

The fear of becoming a war party

And Germany? In view of the arms deliveries now supposed to go to Ukraine, the Federal Republic is likely to fall into the fourth category of suppliers. But judging by the Twitter phone logs, Zelensky would not even place Germany in this group.

During the two-month war, the Ukrainian president spoke with Chancellor Olaf Scholz five times on the phone – twice, however, with representatives of other countries. The Twitter phone log does not indicate that in-depth consultations took place compared to those in the US or France. Olaf Scholz is also miles away from being called a “true” or “real friend”. While Selenskyj thanks the followers, sometimes bubbly, on Twitter, which gives tweets with colorful flags and now and then with small hearts, communication with Germany can at best be described as cool. Thanks missing. Selensky even thanked Austrian Chancellor Karl Nehammer for his support. And this despite the fact that the Ukrainian president had been fired by the Austrian National Council, and Austria for the sake of neutrality did not want to interfere in the war – not even to support Ukraine.

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Instead, Selensky only mentions the demands Ukraine makes on Germany and its partners – and promptly invites German Federal President Frank-Walter Steinmeier from Kiev. For Vice-Chancellor Robert Habeck, this is tantamount to disinviting Germany. Conflicting statements surround the story. While Zelensky’s advisers and the Ukrainian president himself insist that they neither accepted nor rejected an offer to visit, the German ambassador to Kiev was informed in writing by the Ukrainian presidential administration that Steinmeier was not welcome in the capital.

In light of the ties to Russia through ex-Chancellor Gerhard Schröder, the belligerent course in arms supplies to Ukraine and a reluctant Federal Chancellor, the German government should not be too surprised by the Ukrainian defensiveness. Selenskyj’s tweet is just an indication that Kiev would rather distance himself from Berlin. The fact that Germany is too late selling decades-old weapons to the war-torn country arouses anger.

Nevertheless, Kiev continues to demand the most modern weapons from Germany. Specifically, the Ukrainian ambassador to Berlin, Andriy Melnyk, called the rapid export of 88 Leopard tanks, 100 Marder tanks, self-propelled howitzers “and much more”. Melnyk described the fear of becoming a war party as a result of arms deliveries as complete nonsense: “For Putin, Germany has long been a war party.” He may be right. According to an expert opinion of the Scientific Service of the Bundestag, the supply of weapons, but the training of Ukrainian soldiers on them, could be classified as participation in the war under international law.

Perhaps this is an incentive for Germany to improve its relations with Ukraine and thus end up among its top allies. But it is possible that only the German Federal Government can assess how desirable this is.

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